Bitcoin Risk-Reward Calculator (2026)

Most profitable strategies target 1.5:1 to 3:1 risk-reward. Below 1:1, you need a >50% win rate to break even, which is hard to sustain. Above 5:1, individual trade hit-rates drop below 30%, making sequences psychologically harder.

Risk = entry - stop price (longs). Reward = target - entry. Ratio = reward / risk. The calculator also returns the breakeven win rate (1 / (1 + ratio)) — a 2:1 trade needs >33% win rate to break even after fees.

Expectancy = (win-rate × avg-win) - (loss-rate × avg-loss). Positive expectancy means the strategy makes money on average. A 50% win-rate at 2:1 R:R has expectancy +0.5R per trade — every 100 trades gains 50R, where R is your per-trade risk amount.

Only if your strategy hits the breakeven win rate (33% for 2:1) consistently. Random entries at 2:1 R:R lose money because random win rates cluster near 50% but stops trigger faster than targets in trending markets, dragging hit rate below 33%.

Yes — Custom Trading Platform calculators expose an /embed/ endpoint. Paste the iframe code into your trade journal and the calculator runs inline, recording your R:R for every trade.