Performance
Your hit rate, and the rate a given risk/reward needs before it earns anything.
Your hit rate, and the rate a given risk/reward needs before it earns anything. The page states the equation, the units it expects and the rounding it applies, so the result can be reproduced by hand.
A calculator gives you a number. This one feeds the next: account to risk, risk to position size, position size to the trade, and the trade to expectancy, drawdown and risk of ruin.
See the performance tools →The interval is the important half. A win rate without a sample size cannot distinguish a good strategy from a lucky one.
82 wins and 118 losses:
Two hundred trades, and the true rate is somewhere in a 14-point band. At twenty trades that band is over 40 points wide.
Several hundred. At 100 trades the 95% interval on a 50% rate is roughly 40% to 60% — wide enough to contain both a winning and a losing strategy.
Include them in the denominator if you want the rate you actually experience. Excluding them raises the figure and is the more common convention, so state which you used.
It is neither. Paired with a 1:2 payoff it is a strong strategy; paired with a 1:0.5 payoff it loses steadily. The win rate is only half of the pair.
A calculator answers one question and raises the next. These are the ones this figure feeds into.
Average outcome per trade from win rate and average win and loss. The number win rate hides.
The move required to cover spread, commission and financing before anything is profit.
Compare reward with risk, and read off the win rate that ratio needs to break even.
Win Rate Calculator · rounding shown to the precision displayed