Free trading journal
Log entry, stop, target and size, and the journal calculates expectancy, win rate, average R and drawdown from your own results, broken down by setup, instrument and session.
Every field a plan already has, entry, stop, target, size, feeds the journal automatically when the plan is saved from the Trade Planner or any calculator.
Recording entry, exit and profit tells you what happened. It does not tell you why, and it cannot distinguish a good decision from a lucky one. Two fields fix most of that, and almost no journal asks for them.
An overall win rate across every trade you have ever taken is close to useless: it mixes setups, instruments and market conditions that behave differently. The same hundred trades split by setup often show one that carries the account and two that quietly drain it.
Grouping is also what makes the sample-size problem visible. A hundred trades feels like a record; split across five setups it is twenty each, and twenty trades cannot distinguish a 30% strategy from a 70% one — see does win rate actually matter for the interval.
Where this goes wrong
Log the trade when you enter it, not when you close it. A journal filled in afterwards records the outcome and reconstructs the reasoning to match, which is the one thing a journal exists to prevent.
Expectancy in R is the figure to track, because it is independent of position size and therefore comparable across months. The expectancy calculator computes it from win rate and average win and loss; the journal supplies those from your own closed trades rather than from an estimate.
Longer than it feels. A win rate estimated from twenty trades carries a 95% interval roughly forty points wide, wide enough to contain both a strong strategy and a losing one.
| Trades logged | What you can actually say |
|---|---|
| 20 | Almost nothing — the interval spans 28% to 72% |
| 100 | A range, not a number: roughly 40% to 60% |
| 500 | A usable estimate, plus or minus 4 points |
This is the argument for logging every trade rather than the memorable ones, and for judging a setup on its rule and its expectancy long before its hit rate has anything to say.